Semantics Relevance

I.M.F. Sees Steady Growth but Warns of Rising Protectionism


Logical Analysis Report (click to view);
Knowledge Map (click to view)
*Knowledge Map Navigation: Spatial co-ordinations are initially random, and will automatically re-arrange to minimize complexity based on distance between relationships. Mouse down and drag to pan. Right click on the strategic diagram toggles between motion and stationary. Hover over abstract node (orange) to view abstractions. Hover over leaf node to view corresponding narrative. Left click on the leaf node expands the narrative to view full text.

Knowledge Diagram Navigation:

Spatial co-ordinations are initially random, and will automatically re-arrange to minimize complexity based on distance between relationships. Mouse down and drag to pan. Right click on the strategic diagram toggles between motion and stationary. Hover over abstract node (orange) to view abstractions. Hover over leaf node to view corresponding narrative. Left click on the leaf node expands the narrative to view full text.

Narrative Analysis - Report

Key Focus

  • officials have been wary about "fragmentation" in recent years, as economies gravitate to trading blocs with aligned political interests. The report on Tuesday warned that further restrictions on trade and investment could fuel more inflation and weigh on economies.. . "Tariff increases could trigger retaliatory responses, raise costs, and harm both business profitability and consumer well-being," the report said ...
  • said that global economic activity has been surprisingly resilient given that central banks aggressively raised interest rates to tame inflation and wars in Ukraine and the Middle East further disrupt supply chains. ...
  • The International Monetary Fund offered an upbeat economic outlook but said that new trade barriers and escalating wars could worsen inflation.. . The global economy is approaching a soft landing after several years of geopolitical and economic turmoil, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday ...
  • said that a scenario where interest rates need to remain higher for a longer period of time could put added stress on housing markets and the financial sector, ...
  • Momentum supporting factors

  • (inflation,interest)
  • (global,ukraine)
  • Challenge supporting factors

  • (inflation,economies)
  • (trade,economies)
  • (inflation,trading)
  • (trade,trading)
  • (inflation,trade)
  • (inflation,political)
  • (inflation,investment)
  • (economy,growth)
  • (economy,stronger-than-expected)
  • (trade,china)
  • (trade,tariffs)
  • (trade,energy)
  • (trade,chinese)
  • (trade,workers)
  • (trade,united_states)
  • Work-in-progress supporting factors

  • (global,united_states)
  • (global,policy)
  • (inflation,well-being)
  • (trade,well-being)
  • (inflation,united_states)
  • (inflation,trade)
  • (inflation,retaliatory)
  • (inflation,markets)
  • (inflation,interest)
  • (inflation,increases)
  • (inflation,housing)
  • (economy,united_states)
  • (global,economy,united_states)
  • (economy,policy)
  • (global,economy,policy)

  • Time PeriodChallengeMomentumWIP
    Report10.76 1.35 87.90

    High Level Abstraction (HLA) combined

    High Level Abstraction (HLA)Report
    (1) (inflation,trade)100.00
    (2) (inflation,interest)96.42
    (3) (global,united_states)86.87
    (4) (global,policy)78.51
    (5) (inflation,economies)52.24
    (6) (trade,economies)51.94
    (7) (inflation,well-being)51.64
    (8) (trade,well-being)51.34
    (9) (inflation,united_states)51.04
    (10) (inflation,trading)50.75
    (11) (trade,trading)50.45
    (12) (inflation,retaliatory)49.55
    (13) (inflation,political)49.25
    (14) (inflation,markets)48.96
    (15) (inflation,investment)48.66
    (16) (inflation,increases)47.76
    (17) (inflation,housing)47.46
    (18) (economy,united_states)47.16
    (19) (economy,growth)44.48
    (20) (global,economy,united_states)44.18
    (21) (economy,policy)42.99
    (22) (global,economy,policy)41.19
    (23) (global,economy,growth)38.51
    (24) (economy,ukraine)36.42
    (25) (global,growth)35.22
    (26) (economy,ukrainian)34.93
    (27) (global,economy,outlook)34.63
    (28) (global,ukraine)33.73
    (29) (global,economy,ukrainian)32.24
    (30) (global,ukrainian)31.34
    (31) (global,economy,ukraine)28.66
    (32) (economy,strength)27.16
    (33) (global,economy,strength)25.07
    (34) (global,strength)23.58
    (35) (global,economy,pandemic)22.09
    (36) (global,pandemic)20.00
    (37) (global,china)14.63
    (38) (global,economy,international)13.13
    (39) (global,economy,increase)10.45
    (40) (economy,economic)9.85
    (41) (global,economy,financial)7.76
    (42) (global,workers)6.87
    (43) (global,vehicles)6.57
    (44) (trade,china)6.27
    (45) (global,solar)5.97
    (46) (trade,energy)4.48
    (47) (economy,volatility)4.48
    (48) (economy,stronger-than-expected)4.18
    (49) (economy,russia)3.88
    (50) (economy,red_sea)3.58
    (51) (trade,tariffs)2.69
    (52) (trade,chinese)1.79
    (53) (trade,workers)1.49
    (54) (trade,vehicle)1.19
    (55) (trade,united_states)0.90
    (56) (trade,trump)0.60
    (57) (trade,the_biden)0.30

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    Supporting narratives:

    Please refer to knowledge diagram for a complete set of supporting narratives.

    • momentum - Back to HLA
      • said that global economic activity has been surprisingly resilient given that central banks aggressively raised interest rates to tame inflation and wars in Ukraine and the Middle East further disrupt supply chains. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (inflation,interest)
        • (global,ukraine)

    • challenge - Back to HLA
      • officials have been wary about "fragmentation" in recent years, as economies gravitate to trading blocs with aligned political interests. The report on Tuesday warned that further restrictions on trade and investment could fuel more inflation and weigh on economies. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (inflation,political)
        • (inflation,economies)
        • (trade,economies)
        • (inflation,trading)
        • (trade,trading)

    • challenge - Back to HLA
      • officials have been wary about "fragmentation" in recent years, as economies gravitate to trading blocs with aligned political interests. The report on Tuesday warned that further restrictions on trade and investment could fuel more inflation and weigh on economies.. . "Tariff increases could trigger retaliatory responses, raise costs, and harm both business profitability and consumer well-being," the report said ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (inflation,investment)
        • (inflation,trade)

    • challenge - Back to HLA
      • But on Tuesday, China's statistics agency reported stronger-than-expected growth in the first quarter, with the economy expanding at a 6.6 percent annual rate, as the country turned to manufacturing and exports to counter a downturn in the property market ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economy,growth)

    • challenge - Back to HLA
      • China's economy is expected to grow at a rate of 4.6 percent in 2024, down from 5.2 percent in 2023. But on Tuesday, China's statistics agency reported stronger-than-expected growth in the first quarter, with the economy expanding at a 6.6 percent annual rate, as the country turned to manufacturing and exports to counter a downturn in the property market ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economy,stronger-than-expected)

    • challenge - Back to HLA
      • Yellen suggested that tariffs on Chinese exports of green energy products were "on the table." The Biden administration is weighing changes to tariffs that the Trump administration imposed on more than $300 billion worth of Chinese goods. The European Union has been pursuing its own trade restrictions on China, and fears over China's growing dominance over clean energy production could lead to a new wave of protectionism globally ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (trade,china)
        • (trade,trump)

    • challenge - Back to HLA
      • Yellen suggested that tariffs on Chinese exports of green energy products were "on the table." The Biden administration is weighing changes to tariffs that the Trump administration imposed on more than $300 billion worth of Chinese goods ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (trade,the_biden)
        • (trade,energy)
        • (trade,tariffs)
        • (trade,chinese)

    • challenge - Back to HLA
      • Yellen returned last week from a trip to China, where she told her counterparts that Beijing's industrial policy was harming American workers. She warned that the United States could pursue trade restrictions to protect investments in America's solar and electric vehicle industries. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (trade,united_states)
        • (trade,workers)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • "Tariff increases could trigger retaliatory responses, raise costs, and harm both business profitability and consumer well-being," the report said. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (inflation,well-being)
        • (trade,well-being)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • said that a scenario where interest rates need to remain higher for a longer period of time could put added stress on housing markets and the financial sector,. . The fight against inflation in the United States has begun to stall. While prices are rising more slowly than they had been, they are still higher than the 2 percent that the Federal Reserve targets ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (inflation,united_states)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • The International Monetary Fund offered an upbeat economic outlook but said that new trade barriers and escalating wars could worsen inflation.. . The global economy is approaching a soft landing after several years of geopolitical and economic turmoil, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,economy,outlook)
        • (inflation,trade)
        • (economy,economic)
        • Inferred entity relationships (9)
        • (economy,global,ukrainian) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,strength) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,international) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,increase) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,pandemic) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,policy) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,ukraine) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,united_states) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • The report on Tuesday warned that further restrictions on trade and investment could fuel more inflation and weigh on economies.. . "Tariff increases could trigger retaliatory responses, raise costs, and harm both business profitability and consumer well-being," the report said ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (inflation,retaliatory)
        • (inflation,increases)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • said that a scenario where interest rates need to remain higher for a longer period of time could put added stress on housing markets and the financial sector,. . The fight against inflation in the United States has begun to stall ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (inflation,markets)
        • (inflation,housing)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • said that a scenario where interest rates need to remain higher for a longer period of time could put added stress on housing markets and the financial sector, ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (inflation,interest)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • report broadly described its growth outlook for the global economy as "stable but slow," with much of the resilience powered by the strength of the United States, where growth is expected to increase from 2.5 percent in 2023 to 2.7 percent in 2024 ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,economy,united_states)
        • (economy,united_states)
        • (global,economy,strength)
        • (economy,strength)
        • (global,united_states)
        • (global,strength)
        • Inferred entity relationships (12)
        • (economy,global,ukrainian) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,strength) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,international) [inferred]
        • (global,united_states) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,increase) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,pandemic) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,policy) [inferred]
        • (global,strength) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,ukraine) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,united_states) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,outlook) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • The gathering is taking place at a time of growing tension between the United States and China over a surge of Chinese green energy products, such as electric vehicles, lithium batteries and solar panels, that are flooding global markets ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,china)
        • (global,united_states)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • The world's top financial officials will be discussing ways to maintain economic stability during a year when elections around the world could herald dramatic policy changes. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,economy,policy)
        • (economy,policy)
        • (global,policy)
        • Inferred entity relationships (10)
        • (economy,global,ukrainian) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,strength) [inferred]
        • (global,policy) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,international) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,increase) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,pandemic) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,ukraine) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,united_states) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,outlook) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Yellen returned last week from a trip to China, where she told her counterparts that Beijing's industrial policy was harming American workers. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,policy)
        • (global,workers)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • . The I.M.F. report broadly described its growth outlook for the global economy as "stable but slow," with much of the resilience powered by the strength of the United States, where growth is expected to increase from 2.5 percent in 2023 to 2.7 percent in 2024 ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,economy,outlook)
        • (economy,growth)
        • (global,economy,growth)
        • (global,growth)
        • Inferred entity relationships (11)
        • (economy,global,ukrainian) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,strength) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,international) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,increase) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,pandemic) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,policy) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,ukraine) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,united_states) [inferred]
        • (global,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,outlook) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Yellen, are expected to meet senior Ukrainian officials as they try to build international support to provide more aid to Ukraine.. . The meetings are taking place at a fragile time for the global economy, which has been battered in recent years by a pandemic and war ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,ukrainian)
        • (global,ukraine)
        • (global,economy,international)
        • (economy,ukraine)
        • (economy,ukrainian)
        • (global,economy,ukrainian)
        • (global,economy,ukraine)
        • Inferred entity relationships (12)
        • (economy,global,ukrainian) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,strength) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,international) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,increase) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,pandemic) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,policy) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,ukraine) [inferred]
        • (global,ukrainian) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,united_states) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,outlook) [inferred]
        • (global,ukraine) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • The meetings are taking place at a fragile time for the global economy, which has been battered in recent years by a pandemic and war. The world's top financial officials will be discussing ways to maintain economic stability during a year when elections around the world could herald dramatic policy changes ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,pandemic)
        • (global,economy,pandemic)
        • (global,economy,financial)
        • (economy,economic)
        • Inferred entity relationships (10)
        • (economy,global,ukrainian) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,strength) [inferred]
        • (global,pandemic) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,international) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,increase) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,policy) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,ukraine) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,united_states) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,outlook) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • report broadly described its growth outlook for the global economy as "stable but slow," with much of the resilience powered by the strength of the United States, where growth is expected to increase from 2.5 percent in 2023 to 2.7 percent in 2024. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,economy,increase)
        • Inferred entity relationships (9)
        • (economy,global,ukrainian) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,growth) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,pandemic) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,policy) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,strength) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,ukraine) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,united_states) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,international) [inferred]
        • (economy,global,outlook) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen returned last week from a trip to China, where she told her counterparts that Beijing's industrial policy was harming American workers ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,china)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • The gathering is taking place at a time of growing tension between the United States and China over a surge of Chinese green energy products, such as electric vehicles, lithium batteries and solar panels, that are flooding global markets. Treasury Secretary Janet L ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,vehicles)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • The gathering is taking place at a time of growing tension between the United States and China over a surge of Chinese green energy products, such as electric vehicles, lithium batteries and solar panels, that are flooding global markets. Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen returned last week from a trip to China, where she told her counterparts that Beijing's industrial policy was harming American workers ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (global,solar)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • said that an escalation of the conflict in Gaza, additional attacks on ships in the Red Sea and additional volatility associated with Russia's war in Ukraine all represent wild cards that could disrupt supply chains and derail the world economy's progress. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (economy,red_sea)
        • (economy,ukraine)
        • (economy,volatility)
        • (economy,russia)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Yellen returned last week from a trip to China, where she told her counterparts that Beijing's industrial policy was harming American workers ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (trade,china)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • The European Union has been pursuing its own trade restrictions on China, and fears over China's growing dominance over clean energy production could lead to a new wave of protectionism globally. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (trade,energy)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • She warned that the United States could pursue trade restrictions to protect investments in America's solar and electric vehicle industries.. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (trade,vehicle)