Semantics Relevance

Here's what would happen to the US economy if there are no rate cuts this ...


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Knowledge Map (click to view)
*Knowledge Map Navigation: Spatial co-ordinations are initially random, and will automatically re-arrange to minimize complexity based on distance between relationships. Mouse down and drag to pan. Right click on the strategic diagram toggles between motion and stationary. Hover over abstract node (orange) to view abstractions. Hover over leaf node to view corresponding narrative. Left click on the leaf node expands the narrative to view full text.

Knowledge Diagram Navigation:

Spatial co-ordinations are initially random, and will automatically re-arrange to minimize complexity based on distance between relationships. Mouse down and drag to pan. Right click on the strategic diagram toggles between motion and stationary. Hover over abstract node (orange) to view abstractions. Hover over leaf node to view corresponding narrative. Left click on the leaf node expands the narrative to view full text.

Narrative Analysis - Report

Key Focus

  • After last week's hotter-than-expected inflation data, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have each shed around 2% of their value.. . Even with the recent selloff, stock market prices still reflect the expectation the Fed will cut later this year, said Itay Goldstein, a finance professor at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business ...
  • But not everyone thinks cracks in the economy will widen if the Fed doesn't cut rates this year. "We think the economy is strong enough that it doesn't need cuts to avoid recession," David Mericle, chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, said ...
  • Not as well as it has thus far, experts say.. . Investors are banking on cuts. When Fed officials initially penciled in three rate cuts at the end of last year, markets hit new highs. ...
  • Momentum supporting factors

  • (fed,recession)
  • No challenge supporting factor found

    Work-in-progress supporting factors

  • (fed,economy)
  • (fed,market)
  • (fed,interest,penciled)
  • (interest,penciled)
  • (fed,interest,markets)
  • (interest,markets)
  • (fed,interest,households)
  • (interest,households)
  • (fed,interest,experts)
  • (interest,experts)
  • (fed,interest,businesses)
  • (interest,businesses)
  • (fed,economist)
  • (fed,university)
  • (fed,stock)

  • Time PeriodChallengeMomentumWIP
    Report0.00 3.08 96.93

    High Level Abstraction (HLA) combined

    High Level Abstraction (HLA)Report
    (1) (fed,economy)100.00
    (2) (fed,market)97.44
    (3) (fed,interest,penciled)92.31
    (4) (interest,penciled)87.18
    (5) (fed,interest,markets)84.62
    (6) (interest,markets)76.92
    (7) (fed,interest,households)74.36
    (8) (interest,households)69.23
    (9) (fed,recession)69.23
    (10) (fed,interest,experts)66.67
    (11) (interest,experts)58.97
    (12) (fed,interest,businesses)56.41
    (13) (interest,businesses)48.72
    (14) (fed,economist)46.15
    (15) (fed,university)43.59
    (16) (fed,stock)41.03
    (17) (fed,shed)38.46
    (18) (interest,bank)38.46
    (19) (fed,professor)30.77
    (20) (fed,pennsylvania)28.21
    (21) (fed,penciled)25.64
    (22) (fed,nasdaq_composite)23.08
    (23) (interest,powell)15.38
    (24) (interest,inflation)12.82
    (25) (interest,fed_chair_powell)10.26
    (26) (interest,consumer_price_index)7.69
    (27) (interest,central)7.69

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    Supporting narratives:

    Please refer to knowledge diagram for a complete set of supporting narratives.

    • momentum - Back to HLA
      • Market declines can also make households "feel that they're not as rich," he added, which can also cause them to cut corners.. . Elevated recession odds. Since the Fed held interest rates steady last year after 11 hikes that brought rates to the highest level in over two decades, higher for longer has been the central bank's mantra ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,recession)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • . But not everyone thinks cracks in the economy will widen if the Fed doesn't cut rates this year. "We think the economy is strong enough that it doesn't need cuts to avoid recession," David Mericle, chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, said ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,economy)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • After last week's hotter-than-expected inflation data, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have each shed around 2% of their value.. . Even with the recent selloff, stock market prices still reflect the expectation the Fed will cut later this year, said Itay Goldstein, a finance professor at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,nasdaq_composite)
        • (fed,stock)
        • (fed,shed)
        • (fed,market)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Not as well as it has thus far, experts say.. . Investors are banking on cuts. When Fed officials initially penciled in three rate cuts at the end of last year, markets hit new highs. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,interest,penciled)
        • (interest,penciled)
        • Inferred entity relationships (2)
        • (interest,penciled) [inferred]
        • (fed,interest,markets) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Investors are banking on cuts. When Fed officials initially penciled in three rate cuts at the end of last year, markets hit new highs. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,interest,markets)
        • (interest,markets)
        • Inferred entity relationships (2)
        • (interest,markets) [inferred]
        • (fed,interest,penciled) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • . But the longer the Fed leaves interest rates higher means more pain could be inflicted on households and businesses, said Goldstein. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,interest,households)
        • (interest,households)
        • Inferred entity relationships (1)
        • (households,interest) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • How would the US economy handle more months of painstakingly high interest rates. Not as well as it has thus far, experts say.. . Investors are banking on cuts. When Fed officials initially penciled in three rate cuts at the end of last year, markets hit new highs ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,interest,experts)
        • (interest,experts)
        • Inferred entity relationships (2)
        • (fed,interest,markets) [inferred]
        • (fed,interest,penciled) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • But the longer the Fed leaves interest rates higher means more pain could be inflicted on households and businesses, said Goldstein. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,interest,businesses)
        • (interest,businesses)
        • Inferred entity relationships (2)
        • (fed,interest,markets) [inferred]
        • (fed,interest,penciled) [inferred]

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • "We think the economy is strong enough that it doesn't need cuts to avoid recession," David Mericle, chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, said. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,economist)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Even with the recent selloff, stock market prices still reflect the expectation the Fed will cut later this year, said Itay Goldstein, a finance professor at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,university)
        • (fed,pennsylvania)
        • (fed,professor)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • But not everyone thinks cracks in the economy will widen if the Fed doesn't cut rates this year. "We think the economy is strong enough that it doesn't need cuts to avoid recession," David Mericle, chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, said. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,recession)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Not as well as it has thus far, experts say.. . Investors are banking on cuts. When Fed officials initially penciled in three rate cuts at the end of last year, markets hit new highs. The expectation at the time was the first of those cuts would come as early as March ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (fed,penciled)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Last month's unexpectedly hot Consumer Price Index report is the exact opposite of that. That's why Fed Chair Powell conveyed on Tuesday the central bank won't be cutting interest rates any time soon.. . "The recent data have clearly not given us greater confidence and instead indicate that it's likely to take longer than expected to achieve [2% inflation]," Powell said Tuesday in a panel discussion with Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (interest,central)
        • (interest,bank)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Since the Fed held interest rates steady last year after 11 hikes that brought rates to the highest level in over two decades, higher for longer has been the central bank's mantra. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (interest,central)
        • (interest,bank)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • "The recent data have clearly not given us greater confidence and instead indicate that it's likely to take longer than expected to achieve [2% inflation]," Powell said Tuesday in a panel discussion with Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (interest,powell)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • "The recent data have clearly not given us greater confidence and instead indicate that it's likely to take longer than expected to achieve [2% inflation]," Powell said Tuesday in a panel discussion with Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (interest,inflation)

    • WIP - Back to HLA
      • Last month's unexpectedly hot Consumer Price Index report is the exact opposite of that. That's why Fed Chair Powell conveyed on Tuesday the central bank won't be cutting interest rates any time soon. ...
      • High Level Abstractions:
        • (interest,consumer_price_index)
        • (interest,fed_chair_powell)